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With respect to hybridization, male Brewster's Warblers tend to be excluded from optimal territories and may be disadvantaged with respect to obtaining mates (Confer and Larkin 1998, Confer and Tupper 2000). Once paired, however, they appear fully fertile. Less is known about female hybrids, except that female Brewster's may backcross preferentially with male chrysoptera (Confer and Larkin 1998, see also Gill 1997). There is no evidence, pro or con, that female birds - the heterogametic sex are more likely than males to exhibit negative effects of hybridization (i.e. Haldane's rule).
A recent study documented significant levels of extrapair fertilizations (EPFs) by chrysoptera and mixed parentage of young in their nests. Extrapair fertilizations affected the composition of 57% of nests (31 of 54) and accounted for 31% of the nestlings (76 of 240) in Ontario (Fraser et al. 2004 unpubl. data). Those revelations open up a critical new possibility, namely that EPFs may drive the observed levels and patterns of hybridization and directions of gene flow. Further, any biases in EPF dynamics that reflect social dominance or shifting proportions of pinus and chrysoptera as they progress through the local replacement dynamic should be expressed as asymmetries in the cytonuclear compositions of hybridizing populations. Local differences in that dynamic, especially during the initial stages of contact and hybridization, would define different genetic trajectories in a mosaic hybrid zone.
For the first time since the descriptions of Brewster's and Lawrence's warblers 130 years ago, we seem closer to deciphering the social and genetic architecture of hybridization between pinus and chrysoptera. Shapiro et al.'s (2004) new genetic data from West Virginia, combined with expanded studies of parentage and reproductive success in multiple populations, set the stage for identifying common essential elements of this time-dependent mosaic hybrid zone.
Our ability to explore alternative hybridzone dynamics is now empowered by genetic markers combined with theoretical models (see Barton and Gale 1993). Those models allow formal interpretation of phenotypic and genotypic interactions on the basis of transition curves from a transect of samples across a hybrid zone. Rohwer et al. (2001) have pioneered the application of such models to birds, specifically the hybrid zones of Hermit Warblers (Dendroica occidentalis) and Townsend's Warblers (D. toionsendi) in the Pacific Northwest. Like pinus and chrysoptera, occidentalis and townsendi differ strikingly in their face color patterns that are controlled by one genetic locus with two alleles with simple dominance. Moreover, townsendi, the competitively superior, aggressive dominant, is steadily replacing occidentalis and has been doing so for thousands of years. The location of the hybrid zone moves steadily against the remaining occidentalis populations, producing a strong asymmetry in the phenotype transition curves. In contrast to the selective advantage of townsendi phenotypes and the behavioral disadvantage of hybrid phenotypes (which keeps the hybrid zone narrow), the broad mtDNA transition curves are symmetrical, as Shapiro et al. (2004) found for pinus-chrysoptera in West Virginia. The mtDNA haplotypes of the two Pacific northwestern species appear selectively neutral. In addition, there is a substantial genetic footprint of occidentalis mtDNA in the replacement townsendi populations, reflecting the "ghost" of the original Hermit Warbler range.
What then might be the future of pinus versus chrysoptera7. My original suggestions (Gill 1980) still seem appropriate, namely that chrysoptera will be very rare toward the end of the century, perhaps persisting as a fugitive species in early-stage successional habitats, especially at higher elevations and latitudes, and perhaps in swamps. However, we can now better envision ways for chrysoptera to escape from Gaussian competitive exclusion. Considering, too, the teasing signs of coexistence in southern New York, Michigan, and West Virginia, it seems that chrysoptera will likely escape total replacement by advancing pinus.
As to the opportunities for future research, the best is yet to come. First, on the basis of Shapiro et al. (2004), we can hope to document the retention of cytonuclear hybrids as a genetic footprint, and possibly the rate of their decay in replacement pinus populations. Second, we can really begin to study the reinforcement of species recognition behavior through genetic studies of parentage. Someday, an enterprising student will find critically needed, speciesspecific nuclear gene markers that will inform this behavioral research. And soon, the combination of intensive fieldwork with intensive molecular genetic lab work in multiple regions will allow deeper penetration of the social genetics of speciation. Expansion of simple cline models of hybrid zone dynamics to a new set of models appropriate to complex mosaic zones will then be possible.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
I thank R. Canterbury, J. Confer, R. Fraser, and L. Shapiro for their excellent comments on a draft of this overview, and I thank them also for their leadership roles in the study of my two favorite warblers. Previewing much new data was a symposium, "The Conservation of Golden-winged and Blue-winged warblers: Evolutionary, Ecological, and Behavioral Dynamics in Hybridizing Species", organized by R. Fraser at the 122nd Annual Meeting of the American Ornithologists' Union in Quebec City in August 2004.
LITERATURE CITED
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FRANK B. GILL
Audubon Science Office, 545 Almshouse Road, Ivyland, Pennsylvania 18974, USA
E-mail: fbgill@earthlink.net
Copyright American Ornithologists' Union Oct 2004
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